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  • Lethe's Avatar
    20-09-2014, 07:24 AM
    Thanks for the link. I like how it talks about where different projections diverge, i.e. the underlying assumptions about trends in mortality rates,...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 09:38 AM
    If you have a time machine on hand, you can go check them out. ;) There is a large degree of uncertainty even within the parameters that are...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 09:04 AM
    Sayeth Wikipedia: I tend to have more faith in the effect of structural economic developments than explicit government policies, but I've...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 06:12 AM
    The things I do for people! :P Crude Birth Rate is going to exaggerate the demographic difference between nations because, alas, nations with...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 04:09 AM
    Ok so I ran some numbers on the major European nations, which turned out to be quite interesting of themselves, but moreover revealed something I'd...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 02:25 AM
    Here's China's country profile. Doesn't include Hong Kong or Macau and therefore neither do the figures I've generated above #whatevs. A skewed...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 09:02 PM
    Just a further update on this: according to India's country profile, the net reproduction rate* falls below replacement level (1.0) around 2025....
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 08:30 PM
    Actually, like pretty much everywhere else, Indian fertility has been going down for a long time now; going by the medium-series projections (which...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 08:17 PM
    In case you didn't notice the predominance of African nations in the above list: there is a predominance of African nations in the above list. Let's...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 06:38 PM
    So I was playing around with data sets from the UN's World Population Prospects publication, 2012 ed., which is the sort of thing you do when you...
    16 replies | 365 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    17-09-2014, 06:44 PM
    Ok, so I'm throwing this ... screed ... out here because I've nowhere else to put it. It's awkward, uncomfortable, and sometimes I'm not even sure...
    3830 replies | 207794 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    17-09-2014, 05:26 PM
    Lethe replied to a thread Scotland in Other Stuff
    Why should the people of Scotland be expected to care about that? And why should the world fear the example of Scotland anyway? If nations cant stand...
    107 replies | 2396 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    14-09-2014, 10:03 PM
    A nice rant along these lines by Laurie Penny recently cropped up on Salon. Of course, there's a neat answer to the article's headline...
    117 replies | 5562 view(s)
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