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  • Lethe's Avatar
    30-09-2014, 08:02 PM
    "I think if you went to the CIA and asked them how the situation is today in South Vietnam, they'd say it's worse. You see it in the morale, you see...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    27-09-2014, 09:19 PM
    PLAN = People's Liberation Army Navy = Chinese Navy. Not including 20,000t and growing worth of Type 056 Corvettes which are currently being spat...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    26-09-2014, 07:26 AM
    Business Spectator -- If Justin Lin is right, industrial carnage awaits That all sounds rather incredible, but it's interesting that there are...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    26-09-2014, 03:31 AM
    I would agree with this, and also add that nuclear weapons are very poor tools for power projection, and in fact play almost no role in this area....
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    25-09-2014, 01:36 PM
    Migration rates are definitely part of the standard projections -- that's what's responsible for most of the difference in the projected trajectories...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    24-09-2014, 11:21 PM
    Digging into the Niger phenomenon a little further, we discover an extraordinary statistic: Whereas at one end of the scale nations like Japan,...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    24-09-2014, 05:33 PM
    Been doing a little more fiddling with the demographic projections, and again I really have to take my hat off to Niger as offering the most...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    24-09-2014, 02:53 PM
    West Asia/Near East/Middle East/North Africa/Arab World/Sick Man of Europe Check out Algeria -- #1 spender in Africa these days and I'm not really...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    24-09-2014, 01:49 PM
    UNSC + Germany
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    24-09-2014, 11:36 AM
    Well, the initial concept for the graph was "major military powers going forward" (US, China, Russia, India) but then I added Brazil to make up the...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    24-09-2014, 08:56 AM
    Happy now? :P (Actually this is good practice, I haven't had to use Excel for ages.)
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    24-09-2014, 07:44 AM
    Lethe replied to a thread Who's In Charge of WHO? in Other Stuff
    Fortunately agents from WHAT and WHEN are on the case.
    12 replies | 515 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    23-09-2014, 07:22 PM
    Yeah, that's definitely useful info too, but actually I made the graph in reference to the alarmist rhetoric about China's MASSIVE MILITARY...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    23-09-2014, 05:13 PM
    Just some other vaguely related stuff I've been fiddling with:
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    23-09-2014, 05:01 PM
    As I suspected, the great European-African reversal did not actually begin in 1950, although it certainly seems to have accelerated from that point....
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    20-09-2014, 07:24 AM
    Thanks for the link. I like how it talks about where different projections diverge, i.e. the underlying assumptions about trends in mortality rates,...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 09:38 AM
    If you have a time machine on hand, you can go check them out. ;) There is a large degree of uncertainty even within the parameters that are...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 09:04 AM
    Sayeth Wikipedia: I tend to have more faith in the effect of structural economic developments than explicit government policies, but I've...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 06:12 AM
    The things I do for people! :P Crude Birth Rate is going to exaggerate the demographic difference between nations because, alas, nations with...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 04:09 AM
    Ok so I ran some numbers on the major European nations, which turned out to be quite interesting of themselves, but moreover revealed something I'd...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    19-09-2014, 02:25 AM
    Here's China's country profile. Doesn't include Hong Kong or Macau and therefore neither do the figures I've generated above #whatevs. A skewed...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 09:02 PM
    Just a further update on this: according to India's country profile, the net reproduction rate* falls below replacement level (1.0) around 2025....
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 08:30 PM
    Actually, like pretty much everywhere else, Indian fertility has been going down for a long time now; going by the medium-series projections (which...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 08:17 PM
    In case you didn't notice the predominance of African nations in the above list: there is a predominance of African nations in the above list. Let's...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    18-09-2014, 06:38 PM
    So I was playing around with data sets from the UN's World Population Prospects publication, 2012 ed., which is the sort of thing you do when you...
    42 replies | 1154 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    17-09-2014, 06:44 PM
    Ok, so I'm throwing this ... screed ... out here because I've nowhere else to put it. It's awkward, uncomfortable, and sometimes I'm not even sure...
    3830 replies | 215450 view(s)
  • Lethe's Avatar
    17-09-2014, 05:26 PM
    Lethe replied to a thread Scotland in Other Stuff
    Why should the people of Scotland be expected to care about that? And why should the world fear the example of Scotland anyway? If nations cant stand...
    114 replies | 3294 view(s)
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