Quote Originally Posted by squirrel View Post
So please forgive me to ask this but...... what's the chance Ukraine can reclaim Crimea?
None. While Russia supports separatists and self-determination in other countries it's not so keen about it on their own turf. (RF actually passed a law for stricter criminal responsibility for separatism this spring. Also the Crimean Tatars that participated in recent protests were dubbed "extremists" and there is an ongoing prosecution against them.) While the economic situation in the Crimea would hardly live to the expectations of pro-russian crimeans still a partial dissolution of RF would be required to get the Crimea back. (Which may be not completely out of the question considering RF's share of internal conflicts, dwindling freedoms and not-so-bright economy. However even more liberal Russian politicians usually consider the Crimea a Russian territory.)