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  1. #1
    Lesser Hivemind Node Aerothorn's Avatar
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    The RPS Advent Calendar Guessing Game - 2016 Ed.

    It's that time again! On December 1st, Horace will emerge from his den and reveal to us one of the greatest PC games of 2015. He will do this for 24 days, on the final day revealing the Bestest Best game of the year.

    Your mission, should you choose to accept it, is to submit your predictions of which twenty-four games they will choose. The winner will receive $20 towards the purchase of games (on Steam, GOG, or Humble Store) and be enshrined in our hall of fame.

    Here are the rules:

    1. List the 24 games you think will appear on the Advent Calendar. You don’t need to worry about the order or any categories they may be in (with one exception, see below).

    2. You can edit your post to change your picks any time before December.

    3. You get a point for every pick that appears on the calendar. At the end of the competition, the person with the most points wins. In the event of a tie, the person who correctly picked the 24th game on the calendar (aka Bestest Best Game, aka Game of the Year) wins. If both/neither players correctly guessed the GOTY, it will be a shared victory. In the event of a tie, each player gets the full prize, but the pot is capped at $40, so if there is some massive multi-way tie you gotta split it.

    Once the competition starts, check this spreadsheet to keep track of the winners and your score.
    Last edited by Aerothorn; 24-11-2016 at 06:55 AM. Reason: added Fumy's quote

  2. #2
    Lesser Hivemind Node Aerothorn's Avatar
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    What games are eligible to receive awards?

    Whatever the Hivemind wants. Given that RPS starts handing out awards on December 1st, the “last year” comprises December 1st, 2014-November 30th, 2015. However, the restrictions are not so technical, as Founder-in-Exile Jim once noted:

    Quote Originally Posted by Rossignol View Post
    Well basically any game that we've said "this is the year of this game". So if a game came out last year, but we didn't get excited about it until this year, then it's eligible. We're nothing if not consistently inconsistent in our logic.


    Of course, Jim is no longer co-running the show, so there is no precise certainty.

    Can Early Access Games receive awards?

    Yes: a number of early access games have received awards. Additionally, two previous GOTY winners - Minecraft and Kentucky Route Zero - were not yet complete when the award was given.|


    What about games released in December 2015? Or December 2016?

    In theory, the former can win awards, though off the top of my head I can't recall any previous-year December games ever winning. In the latter case, Just Cause 3 was released on December 1, 2015 and was in that year's calendar (the sneaky bastards). So it's possible, if unlikely if the game is released any later.

    What is the selection process?

    We don’t know exactly, but we do know each active staff member makes a list, and those lists somehow get combined into the top 24.

    Who picks the games?


    Via Graham: voting is done by all staff, which is currently Graham, Alec, John, Adam, Alice, Pipe and Brendon.
    Last edited by Aerothorn; 03-11-2016 at 06:00 AM.

  3. #3
    Lesser Hivemind Node Aerothorn's Avatar
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    Guessing Game Hall of Game

    1. Aerothorn (18 out of 24, 2015; 16 out of 24, 2013)

    2. spoken_starfish (15 out of 23, 2014)


    *Caveats: in 2015 they basically spoiled 8 of their picks via Game of the Month, inflating the average score, and in 2014 they gave Endless Legend an award twice (if we have given 'double points' for it, spoken_starfish would have 16 out of 24).



    [this post reserved for further information, e.g. "all Wot I Thinks posted this year"]
    Last edited by Aerothorn; 30-10-2016 at 04:39 AM.

  4. #4
    Moderator alms's Avatar
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    The Complete Advent Calendar Logbook - 2015 Edition

    Hooray for the guessing game is back! - edit: copypasta of the 2015 post for the time being:

    2014 Bestest Best...
    Racing: Qvadriga
    FPS: Wolfenstein: The New Order
    Tactics: Doorkickers
    Puzzles: Hexcells Infinite
    Word: MGR: Revengeance
    Combat: Neo Scavenger
    Landscape: Mountain
    4X: Endless Legend
    Exploration: Salt
    Adventure: The Wolf Among Us
    Co-op: Far-Cry 4
    Kickstarter: Divinity: Original Sin
    Worldbuilding: Dark Souls 2
    Strategy: Distant Worlds: Universe
    Words: Sunless Sea
    Action: Shadow of Mordor
    Horror: Alien: Isolation
    Gosh What? A New eSport? Good: Smite
    Being Pleasantly Lost: Bernband
    Something: Legend of Grimrock 2
    WHAT: Secret Habitat
    RPG: Dragon Age: Inquisition
    CCG: Hearthstone
    Best: Endless Legend

    The Contributors Picks:
    Tim Stone - Combat Mission: Red Thunder
    Cara Ellison - Kentucky Route Zero Act III
    Ben Barrett - World of Warcraft: Warlords of Draenor
    Brendan Caldwell - Elite: Dangerous
    Konstantinos Dimopoulos - The Talos Principle
    Rob Sherman - With Those We Love Alive
    Cassandra Khaw - This War of Mine
    Rich Stanton - Eve Online
    Marsh Davies - Dark Souls 2

    2013: Donít Starve, Hexcells, Desktop Dungeons, Papers, Please, Card Hunter, Brothers: A Tale Of Two Sons, The Swapper, Assassinís Creed IV: Black Flag, Amnesia: A Machine For Pigs, Dishonored DLC, Eurotruck Simulator 2, Rogue Legacy, XCOM: Enemy Within, Call Of Juarez: Gunslinger, Proteus, Monaco, Spelunky, Knock, Knock, Europa Universalis IV, The Stanley Parable, Saints Row IV, Teleglitch, Gone Home - GOTY: Kentucky Route Zero

    2012: FTL, Borderlands 2, Waking Mars, The Walking Dead, Stacking, Thirty Flights Of Loving, Guild Wars 2, Legend Of Grimrock, Lone Survivor, Dark Souls, Dear Esther, Thomas Was Alone, Mark Of The Ninja, The Secret World, Torchlight II, Mass Effect 3, Tribes: Ascend, Planetside 2, Day Z, Crusader Kings II, Dishonored, Hotline Miami, XCOM: Enemy Unknown - GOTY: Far Cry 3

    2011: Total War: Shogun, don't take it personally etc, Serious Sam 3, The Witcher 2, The Dream Machine, Orcs Must Die, Cthulhu Saves the World, Battlefield 3, Saint Row The Third, Portal 2, Fate of the World, Terraria, Batman: Air Conditioning, Dead Island, Realm of the Mad God, Isaac, Rage, LEGO Star Wars III The Clone Wars, To the Moon, Dredmor, Bastion, Spacechem, DX: Human Resources - GOTY: Skyrim

    Honorable mentions: Frozen Synapse, Bulletstorm, MoW Assault Squad, Limbo, Dead Space 2, Magicka, Brink, Driver: SF, AC: Brotherhood, Trine 2, DoWII Retribution, Bloodline Champions, Atom Zombie Smasher, Alice: Madness Returns

    2010: Battlefield: Bad Company 2, Just Cause 2, S.T.A.L.K.E.R.: Call of Pripyat, Space Funeral, Neptuneís Pride, Dead Rising 2, VVVVVV, Digital: A Love Story, Bioshock 2, Recettear: An Item Shopís Tale, Plain Sight, Dragon Age: Awakening, Alien Swarm, Metro 2033, Warhammer 40,000 Dawn Of War 2: Chaos Rising, Sleep Is Death, Desktop Dungeons, Lara Croft & The Guardian of Light, R.U.S.E., Super Meat Boy, Starcraft II: Wings Of Liberty, Amnesia: The Dark Descent, Mass Effect 2 - GOTY: Minecraft.

    2009: Zeno Clash, Canabalt, Dawn of War II, Machinarium, Burnout Paradise, Arkham Asylum, ArmA II, RF: Gorilla, Time Gentlemen, Please, Men of War, The Sims 3, Blood Bowl, Aaa - Gravity, Saints Row 2, Risen, Spelunky (the free one), L4D2, AI War, Empire: Total War, Torchlight, Borderlands, PvZ, Solium Infernum - GOTY: Dragon Age

    2008: GRID, Mass Effect, Trials 2, Sins of a Solar Empire, Audiosurf, Far Cry 2, Spore, You Have to Burn the Rope, Wrath of the Lich King, King's Bounty, Left 4 Dead - GOTY: World of Goo

    2007: Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare, Sumotori Dreams, Company of Heroes: Opposing Fronts, Penumbra Overture, Command & Conquer 3: Tiberium Wars, Enemy Territory: Quake Wars, Nelly Cootalot: Spoonbeaks Ahoy!, Minerva Metastasis, Bookworm Adventures, Team Fortress 2, Gears of War, Puzzle Quest: Challenge of the Warlords, DEATH WORM, Tabula Rasa, Knytt Stories, Half-life 2: Episode 2, STALKER: Shadow of Chernobyl, World of Warcraft: The Burning Crusade, Armageddon Empires, World In Conflict, Crysis, Peggle Deluxe, Bioshock - GOTY: Portal

    "This is a site full of ancient nerds who grew up playing games
    written by teenage enthusiasts with no budget."

    (Marr)
    Last edited by alms; 30-10-2016 at 04:54 AM.
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  5. #5
    Moderator alms's Avatar
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    Last edited by alms; 30-10-2016 at 08:06 PM.
    The Onward March of Bundles - filling your backlog since 1911. For a list of active deals, and more, click here.
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  6. #6
    Moderator Squiz's Avatar
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    Obligatory list of Wot I Thinks for games of 2016 (rather, from Dec 2015 until today):

    A
    ADR1FT

    Agatha Christie - The ABC Murders

    American Truck Simulator


    Animated Puzzles

    Apollo 11

    Ashes Of The Singularity (singleplayer)

    Attack on Titan: Wings Of Freedom

    Aurion: Legacy Of The Kori-Odan

    Average Everyday Adventures Of Samantha Browne, The

    B
    Batman - The Telltale Series (Ep1)

    Baldur's Gate: Siege Of Dragonspear

    Banner Saga 2, The

    Battleborn

    Battlefield I

    Battlefleet Gothic: Armada


    Black Desert Online

    Bombshell

    Breached

    Brigador

    Bunker, The

    Burly Men At Sea

    C
    Californium

    Call of Duty: Infinite Warfare (Singleplayer Campaign, Multiplayer)

    Captain Forever Remix

    City Car Driving

    Cities Skylines (Snowfall DLC)

    Civilization VI, Sid Meier's

    Climb, The

    Cobalt

    Cossacks 3

    Clockwork Empires

    Crea

    Curious Expedition, The

    D
    Darkest Dungeon

    Dark Souls 3 - Ashes Of Ariandel (DLC)

    Day Of The Tentacle Remastered

    Dead Rising

    Deponia Doomsday

    Deus Ex: Mankind Divided

    Devil Daggers

    Division, Tom Clancy's, The

    Disney's Beaty & The Beast Activity Centre

    DOOM (Multiplayer)

    Dragon's Dogma

    Drive on Moscow

    Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger And The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist

    Duelyst

    Duskers

    Dying Light (The Following DLC)

    E
    Eagle Flight
    Enter The Gungeon

    Epistory

    Event[0]

    Everybody's Gone To The Rapture


    F

    Fallout 4 (Wot John Thinks, Automatron DLC, Far Harbour DLC, Wasteland Workshop DLC)

    Far Cry Primal

    FIFA 17

    Final Station, The

    Firewatch

    Flame In The Flood, The

    Football Manager 2017

    Fractured Space

    Furi

    G
    Gemini: Heroes Reborn

    Giant Machines 2017

    GoNNER

    Grim Dawn

    Grow Up

    H

    Hackmud

    Halcyon 6

    Headlander

    Hitman Season 1 (Ep1, Ep2, Ep3, Ep4, Ep5)

    Homefront - The Revolution

    Homeworld: Deserts Of Kharak

    Hue

    Human: Fall Flat

    I
    Ice-Bound Concordance, The


    Inside

    I Am Setsuna

    J
    Job Simulator

    Just Cause 3

    K
    Kathy Rain

    Kelvin And The Infamous Machine

    Kentucky Route Zero (Act IV)

    Killing Time At Lightspeed

    L
    Layers Of Fear

    Lego Marvel's Avengers

    Lego Star Wars - The Force Awakens

    M
    Mafia III

    Manual Samuel

    Master Of Orion

    Metrico+

    Mighty No. 9

    Mirror's Edge Catalyst

    Mother Russia Bleeds

    Mordheim - City Of The Damned


    Muv-Luv

    N
    Necropolis

    Nelly Cootalot - The Fowl Fleet

    No Man's Sky

    Nuclear Throne


    O
    Offworld Trading Company

    Okhlos

    OPUS

    Ori And The Blind Forest - Definite Edition

    Overwatch

    Owlboy

    Oxenfree

    P
    Pan-Pan

    Perfect Angle

    PewDiePie's Legend Of The Brofist


    Political Animals

    Pony Island

    Project Highrise

    Pro Evolution Soccer 2017

    Pug Life Bundle, The

    Pythagoria

    Q
    Quadrilateral Cowboy

    Quantum Break

    R
    Rainbox Six Siege


    Reigns

    Replica

    Rise of the Tomb Raider
    (20 Year Celebration DLC)

    Room Two, The

    Rusty Lake: Roots

    S
    Samorost 3

    Shadow Complex - Remastered

    Shadow Warrior 2

    Shardlight

    Slayer Shock

    Sorcery!, Steve Jackson's (Pt1 & Pt2, then Pt1 & Pt2 again, Pt3, Pt4)

    SquareCells

    Starbound

    Starcraft II: Legacy Of The Void


    Stardew Valley

    Star Wars - Battlefront After All The DLC (DLC season pass)

    SteamWorld Heist

    Stellaris (Leviathans DLC)

    Street Figher V


    Superhot

    T
    Tempest

    Tharsis

    That Dragon, Cancer

    Thea: The Awakening


    Thumper

    Time Machine VR

    Titanfall 2

    Total War: Attila (yes, yes, it's actually Attila: Total War, I don't care) (Age Of Charlemagne DLC)

    Total War: Warhammer

    Trials Of The Blood Dragon

    Turing Test, The

    U
    Uncertain, The - Ep1 - The Last Quiet Day

    Unravel

    V
    Valley

    VA-11-hall-a

    Virginia

    W
    Warlock Of Firetop Mountain, The

    Westport Independent, The

    Wheels Of Aurelia

    Witcher 3 (Blood and Wine DLC)

    Worms W.M.D.

    World Of Warcraft: Legion

    X
    XCOM2 (Five Months Later with DLCs)

    Y

    none

    Z
    Zero Escape: Zero Time Dilemma

    Numerical titles

    35MM



    Note:
    There will most likely be some inconsistencies in this list with me treating expansions as DLC at some point and then as a standalone somewhere else. I'll review the list later and will try to get it into a coherent state. I'll probably also update the list with the coming WITs up to Nov 30th.
    Last edited by Squiz; 13-11-2016 at 02:51 PM.
    Forum janitor in training.

  7. #7
    Lesser Hivemind Node Aerothorn's Avatar
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    Thanks Squiz! We're all so organized.

    Also, just a reminder: games with no WITs can and do win awards, so keep your eyes peeled for anything that was written about outside of those.

    (and that's the last of my protips, gotta keep some trade secrets so I can continue to shamelessly win my own competition)

    (seriously don't let me do that, it's corny and looks bad)

  8. #8
    Network Hub Herzog's Avatar
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    Somebody has to start then!

    Civilization VI
    Darkest Dungeon
    Dark Souls 3
    Devil Daggers
    DOOM
    Division, Tom Clancy's, The
    Duelyst
    Duskers
    Firewatch
    Hitman
    Pony Island
    Overwatch
    Oxenfree
    Nuclear Throne
    Rainbox Six Siege
    Reigns
    Stellaris
    Sorcery 4
    Thumper
    Titanfall 2
    Total War: Warhammer
    VR
    The Witness
    XCOM2

    GOTY: DOOM (I mean it will be this or Devil Daggers or not!?)

    edit: deleted Deus Ex and Black Desert Online, added Dark Souls 3 and VR
    Last edited by Herzog; 30-11-2016 at 06:39 PM. Reason: last minute rps calendar edit

  9. #9
    Moderator alms's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by alms View Post
    edit: The 2015 calendar, reformatted and now with categories.
    ^ check it out.
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  10. #10
    Lesser Hivemind Node Aerothorn's Avatar
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    Thanks for getting us started, Herzog! Soon I'll message last year's contenders and things can start filling up (and of course I gotta start working on my list)

  11. #11
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    Note to self: Don't drink coffee after 6 PM. Oh, well. Lots of Dees and numbers there and not enough surpise bombs, but there's still time to change. 10 close calls that were left out were also pretty dull answers. Hmh, have to see if I get more personal guesses there.



    American Truck Simulator
    Civilization VI
    Darkest Dungeon
    Dark Souls 3
    Deus Ex: Mankind Divided
    Devil Daggers
    Dishonored 2
    DOOM
    Duelyst
    Duskers

    Firewatch
    Offworld Trading Company
    Overwatch
    Oxenfree
    Pony Island
    Reigns
    Sorcery
    Samorost 3
    Stellaris
    Thumper

    Total Warhammer
    The Curious Expedition
    The Witness
    XCOM 2
    Last edited by klops; 02-11-2016 at 07:31 PM.

  12. #12
    Secondary Hivemind Nexus L_No's Avatar
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    EDIT: UPDATED LIST at the end of this thread - disregard this one.
    Last edited by L_No; 15-11-2016 at 04:41 PM.
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    Guild Wars 2 characters: Norgothus (Norn Necromancer), Maggrivo (Charr Warrior)

    Quote Originally Posted by Fumarole View Post
    Never go full Wulf.

  13. #13
    Network Hub Ffrog's Avatar
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    Well, if there's money in it, here is my uninformed opinion (in no particular order, and with a few wildcards):

    Dark souls 3
    The witness
    Devil daggers
    Offworld trading company
    Pony island
    No man's sky
    Rimworld
    Firewatch
    Everybody's gone to the rapture
    Hitman
    Battlefield 1
    Duskers
    Job simulator
    Oxenfree
    Ancient domains of mystery (Adom)
    Overwatch
    Stardew valley
    Mini metro
    Superhot
    Virginia
    Doom
    Nuclear throne
    Concrete jungle
    Steamworld heist

    Bestest best: Stardew Valley

  14. #14
    Lesser Hivemind Node
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    I was just thinking that it was one month away from the RPS Advent Calendar and that it was about time for the guessing game to have begun. Here it is! I made a few silly omissions last year that found me in something like third place. Will have to have a thorough look over those WITs.

    Not ready to post my guesses yet (waiting for Dishonoured 2's WIT I suspect is advisable,) but a big pat on the back to all of those posters above that have posted so many useful resources and to Aerothorn for organising (although you better not win again!)

  15. #15
    Moderator alms's Avatar
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    I'd be interested to hear the rationale for DX:MD in the calendar.

    DX:HR rebooted the franchise, so some slack was cut for its shortcomings, while the good things about it were brand new.

    What was cool and new then, now is familiar and expected, and while some rough edges have been filed down, I had the impression this one added new flaws.

    So?

    Also, if Stardew Valley wins I'll be hugely surprised - first thing off, the WIT wasn't written by staff, and second, remember the January Rule for Memory.

    Wait ...I'm not playing this game right, am I?
    The Onward March of Bundles - filling your backlog since 1911. For a list of active deals, and more, click here.
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  16. #16
    Secondary Hivemind Nexus L_No's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by alms View Post
    Wait ...I'm not playing this game right, am I?
    If the game is excessive speculation about the basic rules for what games are even eligible to be included in the calendar, you absolutely are.
    Want to add me on Steam? Steam name: Mr. G3rt

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    Quote Originally Posted by Fumarole View Post
    Never go full Wulf.

  17. #17
    Network Hub FunnyB's Avatar
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    Lets try this year again! ;)


    1. Batman - The Telltale Series
    2. Civilization VI, Sid Meier's
    3. Deus Ex: Mankind Divided
    4. Devil Daggers
    5. DOOM
    6. Duskers
    7. Everybody's Gone To The Rapture
    8. Fallout 4
    9. Firewatch
    10. HITMAN
    11. Just Cause 3
    12. Kathy Rain
    13. Offworld Trading Company
    14. Overwatch
    15. Pony Island
    16. Shadow Warrior 2
    17. Slayer Shock
    18. Starbound
    19. Stardew Valley
    20. Stellaris
    21. Superhot
    22. Dishonored 2
    23. Titanfall 2
    24. XCOM 2


    Bestest Best in bold.

  18. #18
    Network Hub Ffrog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by alms View Post
    Also, if Stardew Valley wins I'll be hugely surprised
    Me too, but then I'll look even more super awesome for getting it right.

  19. #19
    Secondary Hivemind Nexus Fumarole's Avatar
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    I created another spreadsheet and will populate it after the deadline. Once again people. to make my life easy PLEASE just post a list of your game names; if you have any comments or whatever add it below or above the complete list.

    Thanks.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

    Edit - using the forum's built-in numbering/bullet system is OK, as FunnyB does above. Thanks again for making my life that little bit easier!
    Last edited by Fumarole; 02-11-2016 at 05:03 PM.
    The Medallion of the Imperial Psychopath, a Napoleon: Total War AAR
    For the Emperor!, a Total War: Shogun 2: Fall of the Samurai AAR
    The Red Blades, a Battle Brothers AAR

  20. #20
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    Here we go...

    Battlefield 1
    Burly Men at Sea
    Civ VI
    Dark Souls 3
    Darkest Dungeons
    Devil Daggers
    DOOM
    Duelyst
    Epistory
    Firewatch
    Hitman
    Kathy Rain
    No Man's Sky
    Nuclear Throne
    Overwatch
    Pony Island
    Rainbow Six Siege
    Rimworld
    Stardew Valley
    Superhot
    That Dragon, Cancer
    The Witness
    Total War: Warhammer


    Devil Daggers as the bestest best. Epistory will almost certainly not be chosen, but I had to put it on the list as it's just too beautiful to be left out.

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